Lundy Investors

Disciplined capital.
Global insight.

An FCA-authorised, principal-led investment firm. We run global public-markets strategies, and own and operate private businesses in West African commodities and the Levant, with advisory and research built on the same ground.

+20.8%
Discovery, net since inception
Live account · 24 Nov 2024 to 31 Jul 2026
US$150m+
Advised on since 2020
Transactions, assets and portfolios
2020
FCA-authorised
FRN 847174 · founded 2016
229
Weekly commodity reports
Unbroken series · edition 229, 2 Nov 2026

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Discovery figures are net of fees from a live separately managed account; the full basis is on the Discovery page. Capital is at risk.

How the firm fits together

One firm, compounding.

Each part exists because the others needed it. We advise institutions, companies and states on the markets we know, grounded in the research of our own desk. That same judgement runs Discovery and our managed accounts, and deepens into the funds, where we own and operate the assets ourselves. And Origin closes the loop: taking what our portfolio companies produce and finding it a market. Three divisions and Origin, one flow: each making the others sharper.

AdvisoryIntelligenceManagedaccountsFundsOrigin …and what we build feeds what we advise.
Lundy Intelligence

Notes from the desk.

The latest six reports from the desk: commodities, cocoa, emerging markets and global markets. Summaries are public; full reports are for clients and subscribers.

Research archive →
Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4Thu 5Fri 6AppleUSmidtermsBarryCallebautEuroarea CPIBrazilratesBankof EnglandUSpayrollsUS vote, Bank of England, payrolls · UK times in the brief
This week, 2–6 November · the dates in the brief
Global markets · The Week Ahead2 Nov 2026 · Edition 34

AI is now a free-cash-flow trade.

Chips fell 15% in October and Intel had its worst day on record, whilst energy stocks rose. The market now rewards AI spending that cash flow covers. This week: the US midterms, the Bank of England and payrolls.

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Brent+19.3%WTI+17.8%US steel+3.8%Sugar+4.0%Cocoa+1.6%Copper−2.0%Coffee−1.2%Iron ore−2.8%Nickel−4.5%Soybeans−5.5%Gold−6.9%Corn−10.6%Natural gas−14.0%Silver−18.6%Lithium−20.7%
October change, 15 commodities · Source: Barchart
Commodities · Weekly2 Nov 2026 · Edition 229

Oil rose for a fourth month as metals sold off.

Brent rose for a fourth month on attacks near Hormuz, whilst rate-hike bets hit precious metals: silver fell 18.6% in October and gold reached a one-year low. US steel rose to its highest since May 2022.

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−10%0%+10%London cocoa+3.1%NY cocoa+1.6%Arabica−1.2%Robusta−6.6%
October range and close against the 30 Sep settlement · Source: Barchart
Soft commodities · Weekly Cocoa & Coffee Report2 Nov 2026 · Edition 17

Ivorian arrivals stayed low, and the price fell anyway.

Ivorian arrivals stayed 43% behind last year, but ICE US cocoa stocks are up 22% since July, a first in ten years, and both markets slipped. Arabica fell 6.6% as Brazil’s real fell.

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MSCI World 17.9xIndia19.0xTaiwan16.7xMexico12.4xSaudi Arabia12.2xPoland11.1xChina9.5xMSCI EM8.9xBrazil7.5xIndonesia7.3xTurkey5.8xSouth Korea4.1x
Forward P/E, 30 Sep and 30 Oct (Lundy estimate) · Source: MSCI, Barchart
Emerging markets · EM Week Ahead2 Nov 2026 · Edition 3

Brazil fell 18% in election week, and Korea rose 3%.

Lula’s win sent the Ibovespa down 18% in a week, whilst Korea rose on SK hynix. Emerging markets lost 8.6% in October and now trade at about 8.9 times forward earnings.

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100300500700We are hereDot-comAI eramonths from cycle start
NASDAQ, dot-com vs AI era, indexed to 100 · Source: Bloomberg, NASDAQ
Global markets · Special report9 Jun 2026

The Great AI Listing: anatomy of a $220 billion IPO supercycle.

Five companies, US$220 billion in primary raises and US$3.4 trillion of implied valuation: nearly five times the entire 2025 US IPO market, in one summer. Where the capital comes from, what suffers, and where we are in the cycle.

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Cassava & yam#1Shea#1Sesame#2Gum arabic#3Barite#4Cocoa#5Oil palm#5
World position, by resource · Source: Lundy Intelligence, Paper 1
Emerging markets · Nigeria Resource ResearchJul 2026 · Paper 1

The Neglected Endowment.

Top-tier producer, low-tier value capture: Nigeria’s endowment mapped against the world market, and what stands between geological occurrence and bankable reserve. The first paper in our Nigeria resource series.

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Speak to the team.

Whether it is a first enquiry, a follow-up or an introduction for a colleague: write to the desk. A principal reads it.

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